What happens when Red Bull fall to earth?

Written by Alex Norton - No comments

For the past two seasons, Red Bull Racing has dominated Formula One. Back to back titles in both categories are ample reward for the investment that the energy drinks company made when it purchased Jaguar's foundering effort in the winter of 2004. Since the wins started coming they haven't stopped, and company founder Dietrich Mateschitz has been able to bask in the glory of seeing his vibrant young company humiliate the greatest racing names in the world. But a question now hangs over the company's commitment: having tasted victory, would Red Bull be content to sink back into the midfield?

Although it is not immediately apparent, Red Bull's current success (for which they deserve huge credit, having achieved a staggering amount in a relatively short period) is built on fragile foundations. The Renault V8 is competent, but lacks the outright grunt of Mercedes' powerplant. Therefore, the Milton Keynes based squad's success rests on the shoulders of two men - the superstar in the cockpit, and the superstar in the design office. Remove one of these men, and it all looks rather precarious. Now, there's no sign that Vettel and Newey are anything but committed to the Red Bull cause for the foreseeable future, but if the past teaches us anything it is that nothing lasts forever, and success comes in cycles. One day both men will fly the nest, and Red Bull will fall from grace. Not necessarily in that order.

This is quite natural. Even Ferrari's unprecedented triumphs of the early to mid-noughties came to a shuddering halt when the old guard went their separate ways. But there is a lingering sense that Red Bull's winning streak won't last that long: there is a hint of Schumacher's Benetton or Alonso's Renault about them - teams which enjoyed a brief interlude of glory (built on a collision of talent on and off track) before fading away. Ask most fans, and they will tell you that sooner or later, the colossal figures of McLaren and Ferrari will move in to reclaim their territory. Even in choppy waters, these two iconic names tend to float to the top.

Nobody really believes that Red Bull will go on to join the truly legendary names of the sport. Their success will surely be admirable, but all too fleeting. And when the team does find itself back in the lower points positions, will the suits in Salzburg decide to pull the plug on their two hundred mile per hour billboards?

That's a tricky one to answer. When all is considered, Red Bull's foremost reason for being in Formula One is to shift a few more crates of the sugary stuff, through portraying the brand as fast, competitive, exciting - the best. Undoubtedly that is easier to achieve when Sebastian Vettel is leading Alonso and Hamilton home, and not so easy when you get stuck behind Pastor Maldonado. But give them some credit: Red Bull parted company with considerable sums in order to sponsor Sauber for a decade, and during that time they saw little silverware. But they stuck at it. That could be a sign that even in hard times, Mateschitz is willing to bankroll his personal racing team.

 Mark Webber testing in Jerez, 7th February 2012

The problem is, there are now two of them. Funding Red Bull and Toro Rosso must make a significant dent in the reclusive Austrian's wallet, and should the factory team sink to the depths of the junior squad then Dietrich would be forgiven for telling Dr. Marko to shut the factory doors on one - if not both - of his entries. Quite simply, advertising is only worthwhile if it produces a return on investment, and that investment may not be so easily recouped from twelfth on the grid.

What Red Bull decides to do in more difficult times remains to be seen. What we know of the company so far is that they spent fourteen persistent years in F1 and saw little in the silverware in that time. However, having now tasted success at the highest level, they may be less willing to return to those dark days when a good result consisted of an eighth place or a double finish. Going for the peak is all very good fun - descending from it is less so. And if the example of Benetton is anything to go by, then the decision makers may simply decide to get off the mountain.

But then again, Red Bull might yet surprise us. As they keep reminding us, they aren't like other teams.

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About the Author

Alex has been a passionate F1 fan for as long as he can remember, catching the motorsport bug in the nineties after he was presented with his own kart. He met Felix in his school days and together they founded F1Lite which gained thousands of followers through Twitter and their website. Felix is now a member of the PortalF1 team too. Alex has journalistic ambitions, particularly in the field of sports and politics. However, in his spare time he prefers to relax by cycling, playing badminton, eating out and reading - a world away from the high octane thrills of motorsport.

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