What we know for sure

Written by Biancha - No comments

A Formula One season is no sprint. Months ago we got off to a rather rocky start to the season with the cancellation of the Bahrain Grand Prix due to civil unrest (ringing a bell?), proving that human rights violations have joined the rank of the despised in Formula One circles. It's right up there with the old format of one lap qualifying and safety car starts on damp tracks. Once we navigated our way through that political mine field, we got racing and, with the help of some unseasonal weather, found cracking entertainment wherever we went. I don't know what Red Bull does in their off-season, but Sebastian Vettel must've grown those wings his bosses are always talking about because the kid was flying. The German flag was hoisted at all but one event (the German Grand Prix, ironically) and the German National Anthem was played so many times that it almost feels like Herr Vettel's personal victory dance song. With so much coming to pass, I thought it only fitting to acknowledge what we have already seen and uncovered the three things we know for sure about the 2011 season thus far.

Firstly, we know that the Hispanias, Lotuses and Virgins won't win the championship, let alone a race. Bless them. It would probably take the mysterious disappearance of the entire crew and freight of the eight other teams (is the Bermuda Triangle still doing things?) for them to stand a chance at a podium. That's if their cars don't disintegrate on cue. Even in shockingly bad weather, with drivers retiring as if eager to catch the early flight home, they somehow often manage to be the first ones at the check-in of the local airport. Yes, this aerodynamically unstable trio make up the seldom reliable rear-guard of Formula One. They are pointless (as in, without points for the 2011 season. I don't know what you were thinking). In spite of this, they can no longer be written off with the ease of their predecessors, the likes of the Minardis, the Arrows and the Super Aguris, who somehow managed to get worse the longer they stayed around. In only their second season, they have shown improvement. Apart from the opening race in Australia, they have all managed to stay firmly within the confines of the re-introduced 107% rule. This rule gives the stewards the opportunity to exclude cars from taking part in the race if their first qualifying session time is more than 107% slower than the fastest time set in that session. So, if the fastest lap set in Q1 is 1:40 (100 seconds), your best time needs to be within 1:47 (107 seconds). Don't worry, my brain overheated too. Bottom line, that rule has been enforced only once in 2011: on the Hispania Racing Team in Australia, which means that they've actually been managing to keep up with the big boys. That's an impressive effort in only their second season. They have a long way to go, but it is clear that the days of the new teams being dismally off the pace, their drivers being lapped so many times you'd think they were in a road car, are long gone. These teams have entered Formula One with the objective of making a mark on something other than the tyre barriers and are intent on not becoming a temporary home where drivers merely get a foot in the proverbial paddock door before moving on to a better team. For that, they deserve to score a point or two this season and I, for one, hope they do.

Secondly, we know that Formula One drivers are eternal optimists. Maybe it's a contractual clause. Maybe it's something you need testosterone to understand. Or maybe, just maybe, they truly believe they can still win this. It's been tough to miss Vettel's biggest rivals come out with some fighting talk. Between Button, Hamilton and Alonso's claims that they can each still win this, you sense resilience and an unwavering commitment to victory that has earned them each a world championship (or two) and is bound to bring some great racing when we resume. The numbers look bad. As in, "congratulate Vettel, concede defeat and begin work on 2012" bad. But they seem to have missed that memo; with each one pledging to forge ahead and do everything he can to catch the mischievous maestro. It must be tough for the old guard; the Alonsos and the Buttons. It's like the pimply-faced intern that looked up to you on Monday and suddenly lands the corner office by Friday: that level of success is meant to take time. You're supposed to enter the field in an average to undriveable car and avert your gaze when the guard of champions walks down the paddock until you've earned your chest hairs, lest you be blinded by the raw talent and hydraulic fluid that seeps from their pores. For the old guard to be challenged (and defeated) by, let's face it, an impossible to dislike, blue eyed baby whose cheeks you probably couldn't resist giving a squeeze, is unheard of. Not even three of the sport's current greats in the form of Schumacher, Alonso and Hamilton managed to win their elusive first title at such a young age. Then he has the audacity to go on to defend it ruthlessly, taking no prisoners and setting up what is likely to be the youngest back-to-back world championship, seizing yet another of Alonso's records. I get the feeling his chest is hairier than we all thought.

At the end of the day though, the most important thing we must acknowledge is that we're in the midst of a special season. I'm talking Schumi in '04 kind of special. That should raise the hair on your forearms. Sebastian Vettel has had a remarkable string of victories and podiums, amassing a near insurmountable points total. Unlike his competitors, he started the 2011 season with his statement of intent: catch me if you can. They have yet to come close. His incredible form, especially in qualifying, has left him nearly a hundred points clear of his closest competitor, his team-mate. He could spend the next three grand prix weekends watching the races in his underwear on his sofa in the comfort of his own home and still lead the championship comfortably. Now if only someone would tell him that so that we could set up a proper finish to this season. Otherwise, Christian Horner may as well remind the World Championship trophy engraver that that's Vettel with two T's.

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